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Canada Express Entry Q4 2024: What Immigrants Can Expect

Austin Campbell

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Express Entry Q4 2024

As we head into the last quarter of 2024, Canada’s Express Entry system continues to be a primary pathway for those seeking permanent residency in the country. Express Entry has already seen major activity this year, and Q4 promises to bring new developments that could shape the future of immigration. For those aiming to secure an Invitation to Apply (ITA) before the year closes, it’s important to understand what’s on the horizon. This blog will dive into the anticipated trends, the applicant profiles most likely to benefit, and how the Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) scores may shift in the upcoming months.

What Are the Major Trends for Express Entry in Q4 2024?

The Canadian government has set ambitious targets for immigration in 2024, and so far, they’re on track to meet them. As of July, over 88,000 new permanent residents have already been admitted through Express Entry, and it looks like Canada is well-positioned to surpass the 120,000 new residents target by year-end.

Express Entry draws in 2024 have featured both general invitations and category-specific selections. The Canadian immigration system is focusing on bringing in professionals who can contribute to the economy and fill labor gaps in critical sectors like technology and healthcare. As Q4 unfolds, we expect to see more of this targeted approach, especially for applicants who align with Canada’s long-term goals.

Targeted Draws Expected to Continue in Q4 2024

One of the significant shifts in Express Entry this year has been the trend toward targeted draws. Although we may see fewer overall draws in Q4 compared to previous months, those that do happen will likely be aimed at specific groups of candidates. These groups include:

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Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) applicants: Candidates nominated by provinces continue to be prioritized, given that they meet specific regional labor demands.

Canadian Experience Class (CEC): Individuals already residing in Canada temporarily, especially those under the CEC, can expect more opportunities to transition to permanent residency. These candidates, with Canadian work experience, are highly valued for their contributions to the economy.

French-speaking candidates: Canada has been actively working to increase francophone immigration outside of Quebec, and French-speaking applicants could see continued targeted draws. This initiative helps strengthen the country’s linguistic and cultural diversity.

STEM and healthcare professionals: Professionals in science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM), as well as healthcare, have remained a focal point for immigration draws. While there were fewer draws for these professionals in Q3, Q4 is expected to bring more opportunities.

CRS Score Expectations for Q4 2024

One of the most critical factors for applicants in the Express Entry system is the CRS score. Many are curious whether the cut-off score will decrease in the final quarter of the year. Unfortunately, while everyone hopes for lower thresholds, significant drops in the CRS score seem unlikely.

Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) and Canadian Experience Class (CEC): For these categories, CRS cut-offs will probably stay consistent, hovering around 510 points as seen in previous months of 2024.

French-speaking applicants: For francophone candidates, the CRS score may stay around 440. There could be slight changes, but dramatic shifts in the score are not anticipated.

STEM and healthcare professionals: For these skilled worker categories, CRS cut-offs may not drop much either, given the continued high demand for applicants in these sectors. Small dips could happen, but candidates should expect scores to remain competitive.

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What Q4 2024 Means for 2025 and Beyond

The draws in the last quarter of 2024 will not only affect those looking to immigrate this year, but they will also set the stage for Canada’s immigration policy in 2025. Invitations issued in the final months of 2024 will translate into permanent residency applications processed in the first half of 2025. Additionally, the Canadian government is preparing to unveil its 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan in November 2024. This announcement will provide a clearer picture of how many new residents the country intends to welcome over the next three years.

Canada’s increasing focus on category-based draws, including targeting specific skill sets and language proficiencies, shows that the country is strategically shaping its immigration landscape to meet economic needs and demographic goals.

How to Prepare for Express Entry in Q4 2024

For those aspiring to secure an ITA through Canada’s Express Entry system in Q4 2024, it’s crucial to stay informed and proactive. While the number of draws may decrease slightly, targeted invitations mean that certain applicants—such as PNP nominees, Canadian Experience Class residents, French-speaking candidates, and STEM professionals—will still have strong chances of receiving an invitation.

Keeping track of trends in CRS scores, draw types, and any upcoming policy announcements will help you stay ahead in your immigration journey. If you’re aiming to settle in Canada through Express Entry, make sure your profile is up-to-date, consider provincial nominations if eligible, and be ready to act when the right draw comes along. With Canada’s continued focus on skilled immigration, 2024 could still be your year for achieving permanent residency.

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PNP Draws & Updates

DateProvinceInvitations
Feb 7Alberta308 invitations
Feb 6 Manitoba76 invitations
Jan 28 British Columbia10 invitations
Jan 24 Prince Edward Island 22 invitations
Jan 23 Manitoba 128 invitations
Check Out the Full List of PNP Draws➜

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Recent Express Entry Draws

DrawNumber Of InvitationsMinimum CRS Points
335 (CEC)4000521
334 (PNP)455802
333 (CEC)4000527
332 (CEC)1350542
331 (PNP)471793
All Express Entry Draw Results ➜

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